摘要:
以T矩阵理论、Gamma谱分布为理论基础,基于Pruppacher-Beard降雨粒子模型,对OTT雨滴谱仪的Gamma谱参数历史资料与降雨强度值进行非线性拟合得到具有实地谱分布的幂律系数,建立适合于本地区的雨衰模型,提出了基于非球形雨衰模型的微波链路雨强反演方法,分析了温度对模型幂律系数的影响,并开展了15—20 GHz频段的视距微波链路与地面雨滴谱仪的同步观测降雨实验.实验结果表明:反演雨强的相关系数全部高于0.6,最高达到了0.96,RMSE最小值为0.79,累积降雨量的绝对偏差在2.47 mm以内,最小偏差仅为0.28 mm,相对误差低于1.84%.实验结果验证了基于非球形雨衰模型的微波链路雨强反演方法的有效性、准确性和适用性,对于进一步提高微波链路反演降雨精度、改善降水监测效果具有重要意义.
Abstract:
It is important to measure rainfall accurately with high spatial and temporal resolution in meteorology, hydrology, agriculture industry, environment conservation, flood warning and weather forecasting. The use of attenuated information about microwave propagation in rainfall areas to acquire surface precipitation intensity has been shown to be a practical approach to measuring rainfall in recent years. However, the inversion of a single-frequency link is based on the assumption of rainfall attenuation under a certain frequency condition. Further, obtaining parameters that comply with all rainfall events for the rainfall attenuation model is a challenge, often leading to an overestimation of the rainfall intensity. Therefore, based on extended boundary condition method and Gamma raindrop size distribution, an inversion method of the path rainfall intensity by using a microwave link rain-induced attenuation is proposed in order to improve the accuracy of rainfall measurement by microwave rain-induced attenuation. In this paper, we use the characteristics of an atmospheric attenuation model to eliminate the influence of non-rainfall-caused attenuation on the process of rainfall inversion. On the basis of scattering theory and by utilizing the Gamma raindrop size drop, we use the extended boundary condition method to calculate the characteristics of microwave attenuation for Pruppacher-Beard raindrop shape model. The correction model of rainfall effective attenuation and rainfall inversion model of line-of-sight microwave links are proposed, based on the microwave rain attenuation characteristics and raindrop size distribution statistics. In this paper, we propose 15-20 GHz inversion model of path-average rainfall intensity based on nonspherical rain-induced model by using Levenberg-Marquardt optimization algorithm. Meanwhile, we analyze the variations of parameters of rain-induced model under the condition of different temperatures. Besides, we design a line-of-sight microwave experimental system for measuring the rainfall, and the path average rain rate is inversed by rainfall inversion model, which is compared with an OTT disdrometer. The results show that the correlation coefficient of rain rate inversed by microwave link and that of disdrometer are both higher than 0.6 mostly, and the maximum value is 0.96; the error of accumulated rain amount is less than 2.47 mm, the minimum value is 0.28 mm;the relative error of accumulated rain amount is less than 1.84%, the minimum value is 0.44%. The experimental results validate the feasibility and accuracy of rainfall inversion method proposed in this paper. In addition, the experimental result reflects that rainfall intensity retrieved method based on nonspherical raindrop model has advantages over the method based on spherical raindrop model.